Brian Madden TV #27 - 2010 trends and predictions

For our first episode of 2010, Brian & Gabe sat down in the same room as their very first episode from a year ago. Today's episode is about about the desktop virtualization trends that will be important in 2010. Specifically, they discuss:

  • Client hypervisors will drive Type 2 client-based VMs too
  • Tradition desktop management will drive desktop virtualization
  • People will start to think about the managed versus unmanaged desktop
  • Some kind of "smart replication" technology will emerge that combines block-level and file-level replication
  • (From Martin Ingram) BYOPC evolves to the HAPC (Home Access PC)
  • (Also from Martin) First commercially viable user-installed app solution
  • Cloud will continue to be irrelevant for the desktop space
  • SSD everywhere and continued innovation in alternative storage technologies
  • 2010 will NOT be the year of major VDI adoptions. (Yes, the technology will be ready, but it's not taking off in a big way until 2011 or 2012.)
We also mentioned in the show that we'd link to Martin's full 2010 predictions blog.
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I think your "smart replication" idea could be something like Windows Embedded on crack.  The great thing about Windows Embedded is that it is a stateless OS, which retains only what it is configured to keep, the rest gets flushed at next reboot.  So what I envision is a client hypervisor which runs the Windows Embedded (or something similar) as a running VM, and then attached to the VM is another virtual disk which is used for any data which needs to be retained/synched.  You as administrator would define this information, and it would then be redirected through a junction point or something similar to that virtual drive.  Meanwhile there is a sync agent on the either the hypervisor, or within the stateless OS (I don't think it matters which), which monitors that virtual disk and automatically copies all of the changes to the Data center ala Dropbox/Live Mesh style only replicating the blocks that are change in within the VHD/VMDK.  This solution gives you the client system that is always in synch and has the ability to go offline, while being transparent in how it achieves this to the end user.


Thanks for posting my link Brian. Incidentally, one of my predictions is already in play with the Citrix OK Labs announcement yesterday. Maybe we will see mobile hypervisors make a late charge and become the way to deliver applications to phones, etc.

More commentrary from me here:

Martin Ingram (AppSense)